OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Tampa to Raleigh-durham

587 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on TPA–RDU arrive on time 81% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate81%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay40 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.7%of scheduled flights

based on 977 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • Delta Air Lines
    On-time81%
    Medianon time
    p9040 min
    Cancel1.0%
    Flights621
  • Southwest Airlines
    On-time79%
    Medianon time
    p9030 min
    Cancel0.3%
    Flights356

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline25%
  • Weather3%
  • Air traffic (NAS)12%
  • Late aircraft61%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly TPA → RDU

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 89% on time.

  • Mornings89% on time · p90 10 min · 1,580 flights
  • Middays80% on time · p90 30 min · 806 flights
  • Afternoons76% on time · p90 40 min · 492 flights
  • Overnights75% on time · p90 65 min · 775 flights
  • Evenings71% on time · p90 55 min · 249 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 78% to 87% on time.

  • Tuesdays87% on time · p90 20 min · 476 flights
  • Wednesdays84% on time · p90 30 min · 486 flights
  • Fridays83% on time · p90 30 min · 597 flights
  • Saturdays82% on time · p90 30 min · 544 flights
  • Thursdays80% on time · p90 30 min · 575 flights
  • Mondays80% on time · p90 30 min · 598 flights
  • Sundays78% on time · p90 40 min · 626 flights
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.