OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Tampa to Minneapolis

1,306 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on TPA–MSP arrive on time 80% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate80%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay40 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.5%of scheduled flights

based on 1,186 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • Delta Air Lines
    On-time80%
    Medianon time
    p9040 min
    Cancel0.5%
    Flights1,186

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline32%
  • Weather3%
  • Air traffic (NAS)27%
  • Late aircraft38%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly TPA → MSP

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 90% on time.

  • Mornings90% on time · p90 10 min · 1,088 flights
  • Middays83% on time · p90 25 min · 952 flights
  • Evenings79% on time · p90 45 min · 987 flights
  • Afternoons77% on time · p90 45 min · 541 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 81% to 86% on time.

  • Wednesdays86% on time · p90 20 min · 500 flights
  • Tuesdays85% on time · p90 20 min · 499 flights
  • Fridays83% on time · p90 35 min · 518 flights
  • Saturdays83% on time · p90 35 min · 513 flights
  • Thursdays82% on time · p90 25 min · 515 flights
  • Mondays81% on time · p90 35 min · 523 flights
  • Sundays81% on time · p90 45 min · 521 flights
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.