Historical on-time performance
Tampa to Chicago
997 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS
Flights on TPA–MDW arrive on time 74% of the time over the last 12 months.
On-time rate74%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay40 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled2.0%of scheduled flights
based on 1,568 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).
By airline
How each carrier compares
- Southwest AirlinesOn-time74%Medianon timep9040 minCancel2.0%Flights1,568
Why flights run late
Delay causes
- Airline24%
- Weather4%
- Air traffic (NAS)20%
- Late aircraft51%
- Security0%
Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.
When flights don't go
Why flights were cancelled
- Airline10%
- Weather61%
- Air traffic (NAS)29%
- Security0%
Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 31 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).
Over time
On-time trend
By season
On-time rate by month
When to fly
Best time to fly TPA → MDW
All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).
Best time of day
Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 89% on time.
- Mornings89% on time · p90 10 min · 1,484 flights
- Middays81% on time · p90 30 min · 1,082 flights
- Afternoons70% on time · p90 65 min · 991 flights
- Evenings65% on time · p90 60 min · 823 flights
- Overnights61% on time · p90 85 min · 863 flights
Best day of week
On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 71% to 77% on time.
- Saturdays77% on time · p90 40 min · 799 flights
- Tuesdays77% on time · p90 35 min · 677 flights
- Wednesdays77% on time · p90 35 min · 688 flights
- Fridays76% on time · p90 50 min · 766 flights
- Mondays75% on time · p90 50 min · 767 flights
- Thursdays75% on time · p90 45 min · 758 flights
- Sundays71% on time · p90 65 min · 788 flights
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