Historical on-time performance
Tampa to Chicago
997 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS
Flights on TPA–MDW arrive on time 78% of the time over the last 12 months.
On-time rate78%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay40 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.1%of scheduled flights
based on 1,576 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).
By airline
How each carrier compares
- Southwest AirlinesOn-time78%Medianon timep9040 minCancel1.1%Flights1,576
Why flights run late
Delay causes
- Airline25%
- Weather4%
- Air traffic (NAS)18%
- Late aircraft53%
- Security0%
Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.
Over time
On-time trend
By season
On-time rate by month
When to fly
Best time to fly TPA → MDW
All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).
Best time of day
Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 90% on time.
- Mornings90% on time · p90 10 min · 1,553 flights
- Middays80% on time · p90 30 min · 1,001 flights
- Afternoons71% on time · p90 65 min · 956 flights
- Evenings68% on time · p90 60 min · 843 flights
- Overnights62% on time · p90 75 min · 1,114 flights
Best day of week
On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 73% to 78% on time.
- Tuesdays78% on time · p90 35 min · 711 flights
- Mondays77% on time · p90 45 min · 800 flights
- Thursdays76% on time · p90 45 min · 782 flights
- Fridays76% on time · p90 50 min · 801 flights
- Wednesdays76% on time · p90 40 min · 721 flights
- Saturdays75% on time · p90 40 min · 830 flights
- Sundays73% on time · p90 60 min · 822 flights
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