OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Santa Ana to Chicago

1,726 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on SNA–ORD arrive on time 75% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate75%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay40 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.2%of scheduled flights

based on 2,237 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • United Airlinesbest
    On-time78%
    Medianon time
    p9030 min
    Cancel0.6%
    Flights1,039
  • American Airlines
    On-time72%
    Medianon time
    p9055 min
    Cancel1.7%
    Flights1,198

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline26%
  • Weather5%
  • Air traffic (NAS)32%
  • Late aircraft36%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline12%
  • Weather73%
  • Air traffic (NAS)15%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 26 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly SNA → ORD

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 89% on time.

  • Mornings89% on time · p90 10 min · 2,003 flights
  • Middays77% on time · p90 40 min · 3,007 flights
  • Evenings75% on time · p90 75 min · 194 flights · limited
  • Afternoons73% on time · p90 45 min · 1,360 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 72% to 84% on time.

  • Tuesdays84% on time · p90 25 min · 937 flights
  • Saturdays84% on time · p90 25 min · 904 flights
  • Wednesdays83% on time · p90 30 min · 946 flights
  • Mondays79% on time · p90 30 min · 978 flights
  • Thursdays79% on time · p90 35 min · 978 flights
  • Fridays79% on time · p90 30 min · 988 flights
  • Sundays72% on time · p90 55 min · 833 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.