OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Santa Ana to Minneapolis

1,522 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on SNA–MSP arrive on time 78% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate78%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay40 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.7%of scheduled flights

based on 592 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • Delta Air Lines
    On-time78%
    Medianon time
    p9040 min
    Cancel0.7%
    Flights592

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline52%
  • Weather0%
  • Air traffic (NAS)19%
  • Late aircraft29%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Airline.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly SNA → MSP

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 88% on time.

  • Mornings88% on time · p90 15 min · 1,087 flights
  • Middays75% on time · p90 45 min · 650 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 75% to 87% on time.

  • Saturdays87% on time · p90 20 min · 165 flights · limited
  • Wednesdays86% on time · p90 15 min · 238 flights
  • Tuesdays85% on time · p90 35 min · 162 flights · limited
  • Thursdays84% on time · p90 25 min · 295 flights
  • Fridays84% on time · p90 30 min · 297 flights
  • Mondays83% on time · p90 25 min · 297 flights
  • Sundays75% on time · p90 45 min · 283 flights
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.