Historical on-time performance
Sacramento to Minneapolis
1,517 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS
Flights on SMF–MSP arrive on time 92% of the time over the last 12 months.
On-time rate92%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay5 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.5%of scheduled flights
based on 562 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).
By airline
How each carrier compares
- Delta Air LinesOn-time92%Medianon timep905 minCancel0.5%Flights562
Why flights run late
Delay causes
- Airline62%
- Weather0%
- Air traffic (NAS)21%
- Late aircraft17%
- Security0%
Most delay minutes here are attributed to Airline.
When flights don't go
Why flights were cancelled
- Airline67%
- Weather33%
- Air traffic (NAS)0%
- Security0%
Most cancellations here are attributed to Airline. Shares are among 3 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).
Over time
On-time trend
By season
On-time rate by month
When to fly
Best time to fly SMF → MSP
All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).
Best time of day
On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 84% to 92% on time.
- Afternoons92% on time · p90 on time · 143 flights · limited
- Mornings91% on time · p90 10 min · 1,094 flights
- Middays84% on time · p90 25 min · 455 flights
Best day of week
On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 86% to 93% on time.
- Thursdays93% on time · p90 5 min · 251 flights
- Wednesdays92% on time · p90 10 min · 245 flights
- Tuesdays90% on time · p90 10 min · 243 flights
- Mondays88% on time · p90 15 min · 252 flights
- Fridays88% on time · p90 20 min · 251 flights
- Saturdays87% on time · p90 15 min · 198 flights · limited
- Sundays86% on time · p90 20 min · 252 flights
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