Historical on-time performance
Sacramento to Minneapolis
1,518 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS
Flights on SMF–MSP arrive on time 92% of the time over the last 12 months.
On-time rate92%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay5 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.4%of scheduled flights
based on 563 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).
By airline
How each carrier compares
- Delta Air LinesOn-time92%Medianon timep905 minCancel0.4%Flights563
Why flights run late
Delay causes
- Airline44%
- Weather0%
- Air traffic (NAS)36%
- Late aircraft20%
- Security0%
Most delay minutes here are attributed to Airline.
Over time
On-time trend
By season
On-time rate by month
When to fly
Best time to fly SMF → MSP
All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).
Best time of day
On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 84% to 91% on time.
- Afternoons91% on time · p90 on time · 151 flights · limited
- Mornings91% on time · p90 10 min · 1,093 flights
- Middays84% on time · p90 25 min · 426 flights
Best day of week
On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 87% to 92% on time.
- Thursdays92% on time · p90 5 min · 248 flights
- Wednesdays91% on time · p90 10 min · 243 flights
- Tuesdays90% on time · p90 15 min · 241 flights
- Saturdays89% on time · p90 10 min · 192 flights · limited
- Mondays88% on time · p90 15 min · 251 flights
- Fridays87% on time · p90 20 min · 247 flights
- Sundays87% on time · p90 20 min · 248 flights
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