OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Sacramento to New York

2,521 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on SMF–JFK arrive on time 63% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate63%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay100 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled2.0%of scheduled flights

based on 153 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • JetBlue Airways
    On-time63%
    Medianon time
    p90100 min
    Cancel2.0%
    Flights153

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline58%
  • Weather0%
  • Air traffic (NAS)4%
  • Late aircraft38%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Airline.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly SMF → JFK

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best day of week

Tuesdays are the most reliable day to fly this route — 80% on time.

  • Tuesdays80% on time · p90 40 min · 120 flights · limited
  • Wednesdays64% on time · p90 70 min · 121 flights · limited
  • Thursdays63% on time · p90 85 min · 120 flights · limited
  • Mondays62% on time · p90 100 min · 120 flights · limited
  • Saturdays60% on time · p90 100 min · 121 flights · limited
  • Fridays60% on time · p90 105 min · 121 flights · limited
  • Sundays55% on time · p90 90 min · 120 flights · limited
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Keep exploring

Related pages

Delay predictorfor this route→SMF airportSacramento→JFK airportNew York→JetBlue Airways on this routecarrier detail→JetBlue Airwaysairline profile→

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.