OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Sacramento to Houston

1,609 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on SMF–IAH arrive on time 88% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate88%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay15 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.3%of scheduled flights

based on 667 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • United Airlines
    On-time88%
    Medianon time
    p9015 min
    Cancel0.3%
    Flights667

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline19%
  • Weather4%
  • Air traffic (NAS)40%
  • Late aircraft37%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Air traffic (NAS).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly SMF → IAH

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 93% on time.

  • Mornings93% on time · p90 on time · 1,068 flights
  • Middays77% on time · p90 45 min · 506 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 87% to 93% on time.

  • Saturdays93% on time · p90 5 min · 193 flights · limited
  • Mondays89% on time · p90 10 min · 239 flights
  • Fridays88% on time · p90 10 min · 237 flights
  • Sundays88% on time · p90 15 min · 218 flights
  • Thursdays87% on time · p90 15 min · 237 flights
  • Wednesdays87% on time · p90 20 min · 240 flights
  • Tuesdays87% on time · p90 15 min · 232 flights
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.