OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Sacramento to Honolulu

2,462 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on SMF–HNL arrive on time 83% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate83%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay25 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.3%of scheduled flights

based on 674 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • Southwest Airlinesbest
    On-time89%
    Medianon time
    p9015 min
    Cancel0.0%
    Flights337
  • Hawaiian Airlines
    On-time76%
    Medianon time
    p9040 min
    Cancel0.6%
    Flights337

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline85%
  • Weather0%
  • Air traffic (NAS)1%
  • Late aircraft14%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Airline.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly SMF → HNL

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

Middays are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 88% on time.

  • Middays88% on time · p90 15 min · 414 flights
  • Mornings75% on time · p90 30 min · 1,779 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 73% to 81% on time.

  • Sundays81% on time · p90 25 min · 314 flights
  • Thursdays80% on time · p90 25 min · 312 flights
  • Tuesdays77% on time · p90 30 min · 314 flights
  • Saturdays77% on time · p90 30 min · 312 flights
  • Fridays76% on time · p90 35 min · 313 flights
  • Mondays76% on time · p90 30 min · 315 flights
  • Wednesdays73% on time · p90 45 min · 314 flights
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.