OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Sacramento to Denver

909 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on SMF–DEN arrive on time 81% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate81%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay35 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.4%of scheduled flights

based on 3,663 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • United Airlinesbest
    On-time87%
    Medianon time
    p9020 min
    Cancel0.5%
    Flights1,802
  • Southwest Airlines
    On-time76%
    Medianon time
    p9045 min
    Cancel0.3%
    Flights1,861

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline23%
  • Weather1%
  • Air traffic (NAS)36%
  • Late aircraft39%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline53%
  • Weather20%
  • Air traffic (NAS)27%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Airline. Shares are among 15 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly SMF → DEN

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 93% on time.

  • Mornings93% on time · p90 5 min · 4,291 flights
  • Middays82% on time · p90 30 min · 3,223 flights
  • Evenings75% on time · p90 45 min · 1,618 flights
  • Afternoons73% on time · p90 50 min · 2,151 flights
  • Overnights67% on time · p90 60 min · 519 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 80% to 85% on time.

  • Tuesdays85% on time · p90 25 min · 1,605 flights
  • Wednesdays85% on time · p90 20 min · 1,666 flights
  • Saturdays84% on time · p90 25 min · 1,425 flights
  • Sundays83% on time · p90 30 min · 1,687 flights
  • Mondays82% on time · p90 30 min · 1,816 flights
  • Thursdays81% on time · p90 35 min · 1,768 flights
  • Fridays80% on time · p90 35 min · 1,835 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.