Historical on-time performance
Sacramento to Nashville
1,917 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS
Flights on SMF–BNA arrive on time 86% of the time over the last 12 months.
On-time rate86%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay15 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.3%of scheduled flights
based on 318 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).
By airline
How each carrier compares
- Southwest AirlinesOn-time86%Medianon timep9015 minCancel0.3%Flights318
Why flights run late
Delay causes
- Airline44%
- Weather0%
- Air traffic (NAS)27%
- Late aircraft29%
- Security0%
Most delay minutes here are attributed to Airline.
Over time
On-time trend
By season
On-time rate by month
When to fly
Best time to fly SMF → BNA
All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).
Best time of day
Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 88% on time.
- Mornings88% on time · p90 15 min · 351 flights
- Middays78% on time · p90 30 min · 263 flights
Best day of week
On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 68% to 89% on time.
- Sundays89% on time · p90 15 min · 85 flights · limited
- Wednesdays89% on time · p90 15 min · 74 flights · limited
- Saturdays86% on time · p90 25 min · 145 flights · limited
- Thursdays85% on time · p90 15 min · 79 flights · limited
- Fridays84% on time · p90 20 min · 79 flights · limited
- Tuesdays81% on time · p90 25 min · 75 flights · limited
- Mondays68% on time · p90 30 min · 79 flights · limited
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