OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

San Jose to Chicago

1,830 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on SJC–ORD arrive on time 89% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate89%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay10 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.3%of scheduled flights

based on 305 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • United Airlines
    On-time89%
    Medianon time
    p9010 min
    Cancel1.3%
    Flights305

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline42%
  • Weather0%
  • Air traffic (NAS)30%
  • Late aircraft27%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Airline.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly SJC → ORD

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 88% to 92% on time.

  • Mornings92% on time · p90 10 min · 779 flights
  • Overnights88% on time · p90 10 min · 72 flights · limited

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 88% to 95% on time.

  • Sundays95% on time · p90 5 min · 121 flights · limited
  • Wednesdays93% on time · p90 10 min · 120 flights · limited
  • Thursdays93% on time · p90 5 min · 125 flights · limited
  • Fridays91% on time · p90 10 min · 127 flights · limited
  • Mondays91% on time · p90 10 min · 124 flights · limited
  • Tuesdays90% on time · p90 10 min · 117 flights · limited
  • Saturdays88% on time · p90 10 min · 120 flights · limited
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.