OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

San Jose to Minneapolis

1,576 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on SJC–MSP arrive on time 88% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate88%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay15 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.0%of scheduled flights

based on 405 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • Delta Air Lines
    On-time88%
    Medianon time
    p9015 min
    Cancel1.0%
    Flights405

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline63%
  • Weather1%
  • Air traffic (NAS)4%
  • Late aircraft32%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Airline.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly SJC → MSP

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 92% on time.

  • Mornings92% on time · p90 10 min · 1,033 flights
  • Middays80% on time · p90 30 min · 375 flights

Best day of week

Saturdays are the most reliable day to fly this route — 96% on time.

  • Saturdays96% on time · p90 5 min · 159 flights · limited
  • Tuesdays90% on time · p90 15 min · 181 flights · limited
  • Mondays89% on time · p90 10 min · 226 flights
  • Wednesdays89% on time · p90 10 min · 205 flights
  • Thursdays89% on time · p90 15 min · 230 flights
  • Sundays87% on time · p90 15 min · 179 flights · limited
  • Fridays85% on time · p90 25 min · 230 flights
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.