OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

San Francisco to Raleigh-durham

2,400 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on SFO–RDU arrive on time 90% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate90%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay10 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.2%of scheduled flights

based on 902 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • United Airlines
    On-time90%
    Medianon time
    p9010 min
    Cancel0.2%
    Flights902

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline32%
  • Weather13%
  • Air traffic (NAS)12%
  • Late aircraft43%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline0%
  • Weather100%
  • Air traffic (NAS)0%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 2 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly SFO → RDU

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 84% to 91% on time.

  • Middays91% on time · p90 10 min · 245 flights
  • Mornings90% on time · p90 10 min · 1,007 flights
  • Overnights84% on time · p90 25 min · 1,014 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 84% to 89% on time.

  • Mondays89% on time · p90 10 min · 345 flights
  • Tuesdays89% on time · p90 15 min · 268 flights
  • Thursdays89% on time · p90 15 min · 356 flights
  • Wednesdays89% on time · p90 15 min · 314 flights
  • Fridays87% on time · p90 15 min · 343 flights
  • Sundays85% on time · p90 25 min · 352 flights
  • Saturdays84% on time · p90 20 min · 294 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.