OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

San Francisco to Minneapolis

1,589 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on SFO–MSP arrive on time 85% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate85%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay25 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.9%of scheduled flights

based on 1,704 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Not enough comparable data to name a most-on-time carrier — low-data carriers aren't ranked.

  • SkyWest Airlines
    On-time88%
    Medianon time
    p9015 min
    Cancel0.0%
    Flights106
  • Delta Air Lines
    On-time85%
    Medianon time
    p9020 min
    Cancel1.0%
    Flights1,444
  • United Airlines
    On-time81%
    Medianon time
    p9035 min
    Cancel0.0%
    Flights154

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline37%
  • Weather0%
  • Air traffic (NAS)9%
  • Late aircraft55%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline80%
  • Weather20%
  • Air traffic (NAS)0%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Airline. Shares are among 15 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly SFO → MSP

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 94% on time.

  • Mornings94% on time · p90 5 min · 1,432 flights
  • Early mornings90% on time · p90 10 min · 807 flights
  • Evenings82% on time · p90 30 min · 507 flights
  • Afternoons81% on time · p90 35 min · 1,194 flights
  • Middays80% on time · p90 35 min · 1,816 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 83% to 88% on time.

  • Tuesdays88% on time · p90 15 min · 812 flights
  • Saturdays88% on time · p90 15 min · 801 flights
  • Thursdays86% on time · p90 20 min · 856 flights
  • Wednesdays84% on time · p90 25 min · 775 flights
  • Fridays84% on time · p90 30 min · 851 flights
  • Mondays83% on time · p90 30 min · 873 flights
  • Sundays83% on time · p90 25 min · 806 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.