OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

San Francisco to Minneapolis

1,589 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on SFO–MSP arrive on time 87% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate87%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay15 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.4%of scheduled flights

based on 1,775 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • Delta Air Lines
    On-time88%
    Medianon time
    p9015 min
    Cancel0.5%
    Flights1,427
  • United Airlines
    On-time93%
    Medianon time
    p905 min
    Cancel0.0%
    Flights30
  • SkyWest Airlines
    On-time86%
    Medianon time
    p9030 min
    Cancel0.0%
    Flights318

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline36%
  • Weather0%
  • Air traffic (NAS)16%
  • Late aircraft48%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly SFO → MSP

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 93% on time.

  • Mornings93% on time · p90 5 min · 1,532 flights
  • Early mornings89% on time · p90 15 min · 875 flights
  • Evenings82% on time · p90 30 min · 507 flights
  • Afternoons80% on time · p90 35 min · 1,143 flights
  • Middays80% on time · p90 35 min · 1,693 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 83% to 87% on time.

  • Saturdays87% on time · p90 15 min · 772 flights
  • Tuesdays87% on time · p90 15 min · 824 flights
  • Thursdays86% on time · p90 20 min · 843 flights
  • Mondays84% on time · p90 25 min · 871 flights
  • Fridays84% on time · p90 30 min · 843 flights
  • Wednesdays83% on time · p90 30 min · 788 flights
  • Sundays83% on time · p90 25 min · 810 flights
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Keep exploring

Related pages

Delay predictorfor this route→SFO airportSan Francisco→MSP airportMinneapolis→Delta Air Lines on this routecarrier detail→Delta Air Linesairline profile→

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.