OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

San Francisco to Detroit

2,079 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on SFO–DTW arrive on time 81% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate81%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay25 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.9%of scheduled flights

based on 1,786 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • Delta Air Lines
    On-time82%
    Medianon time
    p9025 min
    Cancel0.8%
    Flights1,372
  • United Airlines
    On-time80%
    Medianon time
    p9025 min
    Cancel1.2%
    Flights414

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline42%
  • Weather1%
  • Air traffic (NAS)14%
  • Late aircraft42%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Airline.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly SFO → DTW

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 91% on time.

  • Mornings91% on time · p90 10 min · 1,311 flights
  • Overnights80% on time · p90 30 min · 1,281 flights
  • Afternoons79% on time · p90 30 min · 739 flights
  • Middays78% on time · p90 40 min · 1,466 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 77% to 87% on time.

  • Saturdays87% on time · p90 15 min · 607 flights
  • Tuesdays87% on time · p90 15 min · 636 flights
  • Wednesdays84% on time · p90 20 min · 647 flights
  • Thursdays83% on time · p90 25 min · 728 flights
  • Fridays80% on time · p90 30 min · 720 flights
  • Mondays80% on time · p90 30 min · 727 flights
  • Sundays77% on time · p90 40 min · 732 flights
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.