OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

San Francisco to Washington

2,442 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on SFO–DCA arrive on time 77% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate77%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay40 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.0%of scheduled flights

based on 1,006 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • United Airlines
    On-time78%
    Medianon time
    p9040 min
    Cancel0.8%
    Flights729
  • Alaska Airlines
    On-time74%
    Medianon time
    p9040 min
    Cancel1.4%
    Flights277

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline17%
  • Weather1%
  • Air traffic (NAS)48%
  • Late aircraft33%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Air traffic (NAS).

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline10%
  • Weather80%
  • Air traffic (NAS)10%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 10 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly SFO → DCA

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 84% on time.

  • Mornings84% on time · p90 25 min · 2,185 flights
  • Middays73% on time · p90 55 min · 409 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 79% to 88% on time.

  • Saturdays88% on time · p90 15 min · 381 flights
  • Tuesdays84% on time · p90 25 min · 379 flights
  • Sundays83% on time · p90 30 min · 381 flights
  • Mondays80% on time · p90 40 min · 379 flights
  • Wednesdays80% on time · p90 30 min · 378 flights
  • Thursdays79% on time · p90 40 min · 378 flights
  • Fridays79% on time · p90 25 min · 382 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.