OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

San Francisco to Nashville

1,969 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on SFO–BNA arrive on time 77% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate77%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay35 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.4%of scheduled flights

based on 914 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • United Airlinesbest
    On-time81%
    Medianon time
    p9025 min
    Cancel0.5%
    Flights792
  • Southwest Airlines
    On-time51%
    Median10 min
    p9070 min
    Cancel0.0%
    Flights122

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline26%
  • Weather0%
  • Air traffic (NAS)24%
  • Late aircraft50%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly SFO → BNA

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 83% on time.

  • Mornings83% on time · p90 20 min · 259 flights
  • Overnights75% on time · p90 35 min · 877 flights
  • Afternoons75% on time · p90 45 min · 126 flights · limited
  • Middays71% on time · p90 40 min · 972 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 71% to 80% on time.

  • Saturdays80% on time · p90 25 min · 291 flights
  • Mondays77% on time · p90 30 min · 332 flights
  • Wednesdays75% on time · p90 40 min · 306 flights
  • Tuesdays73% on time · p90 40 min · 287 flights
  • Fridays73% on time · p90 40 min · 341 flights
  • Sundays72% on time · p90 40 min · 342 flights
  • Thursdays71% on time · p90 35 min · 338 flights
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.