OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

San Francisco to Anchorage

2,018 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on SFO–ANC arrive on time 88% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate88%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay15 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.0%of scheduled flights

based on 232 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • United Airlines
    On-time88%
    Medianon time
    p9020 min
    Cancel0.0%
    Flights97
  • Alaska Airlines
    On-time88%
    Medianon time
    p9015 min
    Cancel0.0%
    Flights135

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline31%
  • Weather8%
  • Air traffic (NAS)30%
  • Late aircraft30%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Airline.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly SFO → ANC

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

Evenings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 83% on time.

  • Evenings83% on time · p90 25 min · 649 flights
  • Middays54% on time · p90 45 min · 68 flights · limited

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 73% to 85% on time.

  • Mondays85% on time · p90 20 min · 103 flights · limited
  • Tuesdays84% on time · p90 20 min · 100 flights · limited
  • Saturdays84% on time · p90 25 min · 148 flights · limited
  • Fridays80% on time · p90 30 min · 104 flights · limited
  • Sundays79% on time · p90 40 min · 106 flights · limited
  • Wednesdays77% on time · p90 40 min · 99 flights · limited
  • Thursdays73% on time · p90 60 min · 103 flights · limited
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.