OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Louisville to Washington

451 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on SDF–IAD arrive on time 93% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate93%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay10 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.5%of scheduled flights

based on 274 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • Republic Airways
    On-time93%
    Medianon time
    p9010 min
    Cancel1.5%
    Flights274

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline42%
  • Weather3%
  • Air traffic (NAS)16%
  • Late aircraft40%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Airline.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly SDF → IAD

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 92% to 94% on time.

  • Mornings94% on time · p90 5 min · 851 flights
  • Afternoons93% on time · p90 5 min · 55 flights · limited
  • Middays92% on time · p90 10 min · 371 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 87% to 96% on time.

  • Tuesdays96% on time · p90 5 min · 176 flights · limited
  • Fridays95% on time · p90 5 min · 183 flights · limited
  • Wednesdays95% on time · p90 5 min · 178 flights · limited
  • Mondays94% on time · p90 on time · 185 flights · limited
  • Saturdays93% on time · p90 5 min · 178 flights · limited
  • Thursdays92% on time · p90 10 min · 188 flights · limited
  • Sundays87% on time · p90 15 min · 190 flights · limited
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.