OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Louisville to Washington

474 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on SDF–DCA arrive on time 70% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate70%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay60 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled6.6%of scheduled flights

based on 954 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • Republic Airwaysbest
    On-time85%
    Medianon time
    p9020 min
    Cancel1.4%
    Flights370
  • PSA Airlines
    On-time60%
    Medianon time
    p9085 min
    Cancel9.9%
    Flights584

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline15%
  • Weather10%
  • Air traffic (NAS)26%
  • Late aircraft48%
  • Security1%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly SDF → DCA

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 86% on time.

  • Mornings86% on time · p90 15 min · 1,067 flights
  • Middays83% on time · p90 25 min · 988 flights
  • Afternoons79% on time · p90 40 min · 266 flights
  • Overnights74% on time · p90 50 min · 173 flights · limited
  • Evenings65% on time · p90 75 min · 702 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 76% to 84% on time.

  • Saturdays84% on time · p90 20 min · 347 flights
  • Mondays81% on time · p90 35 min · 483 flights
  • Tuesdays80% on time · p90 40 min · 488 flights
  • Wednesdays79% on time · p90 35 min · 487 flights
  • Fridays79% on time · p90 35 min · 476 flights
  • Thursdays79% on time · p90 35 min · 475 flights
  • Sundays76% on time · p90 50 min · 440 flights
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.