OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

San Diego to Chicago

1,723 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on SAN–ORD arrive on time 77% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate77%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay40 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.2%of scheduled flights

based on 3,693 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • United Airlinesbest
    On-time81%
    Medianon time
    p9030 min
    Cancel0.5%
    Flights1,675
  • American Airlines
    On-time75%
    Medianon time
    p9050 min
    Cancel1.7%
    Flights1,382
  • Alaska Airlines
    On-time72%
    Medianon time
    p9045 min
    Cancel2.5%
    Flights605
  • Frontier Airlines
    On-time23%
    Median50 min
    p90195 min
    Cancel0.0%
    Flights31

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline28%
  • Weather5%
  • Air traffic (NAS)29%
  • Late aircraft38%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline22%
  • Weather54%
  • Air traffic (NAS)24%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 46 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly SAN → ORD

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

Overnights are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 93% on time.

  • Overnights93% on time · p90 5 min · 1,764 flights
  • Mornings86% on time · p90 20 min · 2,451 flights
  • Evenings80% on time · p90 35 min · 652 flights
  • Middays74% on time · p90 45 min · 2,688 flights
  • Afternoons72% on time · p90 60 min · 1,756 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 77% to 84% on time.

  • Saturdays84% on time · p90 25 min · 1,250 flights
  • Wednesdays84% on time · p90 25 min · 1,267 flights
  • Tuesdays83% on time · p90 30 min · 1,266 flights
  • Mondays81% on time · p90 30 min · 1,378 flights
  • Thursdays80% on time · p90 35 min · 1,384 flights
  • Fridays79% on time · p90 40 min · 1,386 flights
  • Sundays77% on time · p90 40 min · 1,380 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.