OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Raleigh-durham to Tampa

587 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on RDU–TPA arrive on time 80% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate80%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay40 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.8%of scheduled flights

based on 968 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • Delta Air Lines
    On-time81%
    Medianon time
    p9045 min
    Cancel1.0%
    Flights621
  • Southwest Airlines
    On-time78%
    Medianon time
    p9035 min
    Cancel0.6%
    Flights347

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline41%
  • Weather3%
  • Air traffic (NAS)17%
  • Late aircraft39%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Airline.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly RDU → TPA

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 89% on time.

  • Mornings89% on time · p90 10 min · 1,346 flights
  • Middays84% on time · p90 25 min · 715 flights
  • Afternoons70% on time · p90 60 min · 453 flights
  • Evenings67% on time · p90 70 min · 1,231 flights
  • Overnights66% on time · p90 70 min · 154 flights · limited

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 75% to 84% on time.

  • Tuesdays84% on time · p90 25 min · 476 flights
  • Wednesdays84% on time · p90 20 min · 485 flights
  • Saturdays80% on time · p90 35 min · 544 flights
  • Fridays76% on time · p90 45 min · 594 flights
  • Mondays76% on time · p90 45 min · 598 flights
  • Sundays75% on time · p90 55 min · 628 flights
  • Thursdays75% on time · p90 60 min · 574 flights
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.