OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Raleigh-durham to San Francisco

2,400 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on RDU–SFO arrive on time 84% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate84%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay20 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.0%of scheduled flights

based on 880 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • United Airlines
    On-time84%
    Medianon time
    p9020 min
    Cancel0.0%
    Flights880

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline24%
  • Weather3%
  • Air traffic (NAS)34%
  • Late aircraft39%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly RDU → SFO

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 85% on time.

  • Mornings85% on time · p90 20 min · 1,210 flights
  • Evenings75% on time · p90 55 min · 985 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 77% to 84% on time.

  • Tuesdays84% on time · p90 25 min · 291 flights
  • Thursdays83% on time · p90 25 min · 332 flights
  • Wednesdays81% on time · p90 35 min · 290 flights
  • Mondays80% on time · p90 35 min · 334 flights
  • Saturdays80% on time · p90 30 min · 282 flights
  • Fridays80% on time · p90 35 min · 334 flights
  • Sundays77% on time · p90 40 min · 332 flights
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.