OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Raleigh-durham to Washington

224 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on RDU–IAD arrive on time 85% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate85%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay20 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.4%of scheduled flights

based on 1,257 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Not enough comparable data to name a most-on-time carrier — low-data carriers aren't ranked.

  • United Airlines
    On-time86%
    Medianon time
    p9020 min
    Cancel1.3%
    Flights1,065
  • Republic Airways
    On-time81%
    Medianon time
    p9035 min
    Cancel2.1%
    Flights192

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline20%
  • Weather12%
  • Air traffic (NAS)23%
  • Late aircraft45%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline28%
  • Weather56%
  • Air traffic (NAS)17%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 18 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly RDU → IAD

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 72% to 93% on time.

  • Middays93% on time · p90 5 min · 920 flights
  • Mornings90% on time · p90 5 min · 850 flights
  • Overnights89% on time · p90 15 min · 140 flights · limited
  • Evenings85% on time · p90 45 min · 581 flights
  • Afternoons72% on time · p90 35 min · 693 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 82% to 90% on time.

  • Saturdays90% on time · p90 10 min · 362 flights
  • Tuesdays88% on time · p90 15 min · 474 flights
  • Wednesdays88% on time · p90 15 min · 471 flights
  • Thursdays88% on time · p90 15 min · 483 flights
  • Sundays83% on time · p90 25 min · 438 flights
  • Fridays83% on time · p90 30 min · 489 flights
  • Mondays82% on time · p90 30 min · 467 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.