OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Raleigh-durham to Nashville

443 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on RDU–BNA arrive on time 81% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate81%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay30 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.2%of scheduled flights

based on 2,031 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • Republic Airways
    On-time78%
    Medianon time
    p9045 min
    Cancel2.0%
    Flights809
  • Southwest Airlines
    On-time82%
    Medianon time
    p9030 min
    Cancel0.7%
    Flights1,222

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline19%
  • Weather3%
  • Air traffic (NAS)17%
  • Late aircraft61%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly RDU → BNA

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 93% on time.

  • Mornings93% on time · p90 5 min · 2,669 flights
  • Middays87% on time · p90 15 min · 804 flights
  • Afternoons78% on time · p90 40 min · 1,671 flights
  • Evenings76% on time · p90 40 min · 644 flights
  • Overnights64% on time · p90 50 min · 678 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 80% to 87% on time.

  • Saturdays87% on time · p90 15 min · 722 flights
  • Wednesdays87% on time · p90 20 min · 953 flights
  • Tuesdays87% on time · p90 20 min · 949 flights
  • Mondays83% on time · p90 25 min · 976 flights
  • Thursdays82% on time · p90 25 min · 957 flights
  • Fridays80% on time · p90 35 min · 963 flights
  • Sundays80% on time · p90 30 min · 946 flights
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.