OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Phoenix to Chicago

1,440 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on PHX–ORD arrive on time 75% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate75%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay45 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.5%of scheduled flights

based on 5,403 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • American Airlines
    On-time77%
    Medianon time
    p9040 min
    Cancel2.1%
    Flights2,994
  • United Airlines
    On-time77%
    Medianon time
    p9040 min
    Cancel0.5%
    Flights1,943
  • Southwest Airlines
    On-time58%
    Median5 min
    p9090 min
    Cancel1.2%
    Flights427
  • Frontier Airlines
    On-time51%
    Median5 min
    p90190 min
    Cancel5.1%
    Flights39

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline30%
  • Weather2%
  • Air traffic (NAS)35%
  • Late aircraft33%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Air traffic (NAS).

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline6%
  • Weather81%
  • Air traffic (NAS)13%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 80 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly PHX → ORD

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 71% to 88% on time.

  • Mornings88% on time · p90 15 min · 5,026 flights
  • Early mornings85% on time · p90 25 min · 596 flights
  • Overnights81% on time · p90 35 min · 1,465 flights
  • Middays77% on time · p90 40 min · 4,854 flights
  • Evenings74% on time · p90 60 min · 2,526 flights
  • Afternoons71% on time · p90 55 min · 2,990 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 78% to 82% on time.

  • Saturdays82% on time · p90 30 min · 2,475 flights
  • Wednesdays81% on time · p90 30 min · 2,390 flights
  • Tuesdays80% on time · p90 35 min · 2,383 flights
  • Thursdays79% on time · p90 40 min · 2,530 flights
  • Sundays78% on time · p90 40 min · 2,551 flights
  • Fridays78% on time · p90 45 min · 2,569 flights
  • Mondays78% on time · p90 40 min · 2,559 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.