OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Phoenix to Minneapolis

1,276 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on PHX–MSP arrive on time 83% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate83%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay30 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.8%of scheduled flights

based on 3,050 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • Delta Air Linesbest
    On-time85%
    Medianon time
    p9025 min
    Cancel0.7%
    Flights2,101
  • American Airlines
    On-time79%
    Medianon time
    p9040 min
    Cancel1.2%
    Flights655
  • Frontier Airlines
    On-time78%
    Medianon time
    p9030 min
    Cancel2.2%
    Flights45
  • Southwest Airlines
    On-time71%
    Medianon time
    p9040 min
    Cancel0.8%
    Flights249

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline41%
  • Weather2%
  • Air traffic (NAS)8%
  • Late aircraft49%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline40%
  • Weather60%
  • Air traffic (NAS)0%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 25 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly PHX → MSP

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 72% to 89% on time.

  • Mornings89% on time · p90 15 min · 3,227 flights
  • Early mornings88% on time · p90 15 min · 583 flights
  • Middays85% on time · p90 25 min · 1,919 flights
  • Afternoons79% on time · p90 40 min · 1,273 flights
  • Evenings77% on time · p90 40 min · 2,516 flights
  • Overnights72% on time · p90 35 min · 202 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 82% to 86% on time.

  • Wednesdays86% on time · p90 25 min · 1,288 flights
  • Tuesdays85% on time · p90 20 min · 1,331 flights
  • Mondays83% on time · p90 30 min · 1,417 flights
  • Saturdays83% on time · p90 25 min · 1,458 flights
  • Thursdays83% on time · p90 25 min · 1,394 flights
  • Sundays82% on time · p90 30 min · 1,410 flights
  • Fridays82% on time · p90 30 min · 1,422 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.