OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Philadelphia to San Francisco

2,521 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on PHL–SFO arrive on time 76% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate76%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay45 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.7%of scheduled flights

based on 1,770 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • United Airlinesbest
    On-time79%
    Medianon time
    p9040 min
    Cancel0.2%
    Flights602
  • American Airlines
    On-time74%
    Medianon time
    p9050 min
    Cancel1.0%
    Flights1,168

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline27%
  • Weather7%
  • Air traffic (NAS)37%
  • Late aircraft29%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Air traffic (NAS).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly PHL → SFO

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 85% on time.

  • Mornings85% on time · p90 20 min · 2,105 flights
  • Afternoons68% on time · p90 70 min · 658 flights
  • Overnights67% on time · p90 50 min · 109 flights · limited
  • Evenings66% on time · p90 65 min · 1,675 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 73% to 78% on time.

  • Wednesdays78% on time · p90 40 min · 641 flights
  • Tuesdays77% on time · p90 35 min · 629 flights
  • Saturdays77% on time · p90 40 min · 612 flights
  • Sundays75% on time · p90 45 min · 676 flights
  • Mondays74% on time · p90 50 min · 681 flights
  • Fridays74% on time · p90 45 min · 673 flights
  • Thursdays73% on time · p90 50 min · 664 flights
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.