OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Philadelphia to Raleigh-durham

336 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on PHL–RDU arrive on time 71% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate71%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay70 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.6%of scheduled flights

based on 2,348 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • American Airlines
    On-time71%
    Medianon time
    p9070 min
    Cancel1.7%
    Flights1,563
  • PSA Airlines
    On-time65%
    Medianon time
    p9085 min
    Cancel0.9%
    Flights230
  • Frontier Airlines
    On-time74%
    Medianon time
    p9055 min
    Cancel1.6%
    Flights555

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline24%
  • Weather3%
  • Air traffic (NAS)12%
  • Late aircraft61%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly PHL → RDU

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 64% to 81% on time.

  • Mornings81% on time · p90 40 min · 1,722 flights
  • Middays78% on time · p90 50 min · 1,520 flights
  • Afternoons70% on time · p90 85 min · 1,764 flights
  • Overnights65% on time · p90 75 min · 580 flights
  • Evenings64% on time · p90 80 min · 1,242 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 69% to 77% on time.

  • Wednesdays77% on time · p90 50 min · 936 flights
  • Tuesdays77% on time · p90 50 min · 920 flights
  • Mondays73% on time · p90 70 min · 1,055 flights
  • Thursdays72% on time · p90 60 min · 1,000 flights
  • Saturdays72% on time · p90 70 min · 841 flights
  • Sundays71% on time · p90 65 min · 1,024 flights
  • Fridays69% on time · p90 70 min · 1,052 flights
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.