OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Philadelphia to Buffalo

279 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on PHL–BUF arrive on time 65% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate65%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay90 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled6.5%of scheduled flights

based on 170 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Not enough comparable data to name a most-on-time carrier — low-data carriers aren't ranked.

  • Republic Airways
    On-time74%
    Medianon time
    p9060 min
    Cancel4.9%
    Flights61
  • PSA Airlines
    On-time60%
    Median5 min
    p90115 min
    Cancel7.3%
    Flights109

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline40%
  • Weather5%
  • Air traffic (NAS)12%
  • Late aircraft42%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline0%
  • Weather73%
  • Air traffic (NAS)27%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 11 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly PHL → BUF

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 59% to 79% on time.

  • Middays79% on time · p90 40 min · 167 flights · limited
  • Afternoons77% on time · p90 35 min · 102 flights · limited
  • Overnights69% on time · p90 65 min · 411 flights
  • Evenings59% on time · p90 100 min · 155 flights · limited

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 67% to 79% on time.

  • Tuesdays79% on time · p90 40 min · 119 flights · limited
  • Wednesdays74% on time · p90 45 min · 121 flights · limited
  • Thursdays74% on time · p90 45 min · 134 flights · limited
  • Mondays70% on time · p90 60 min · 132 flights · limited
  • Fridays70% on time · p90 60 min · 128 flights · limited
  • Saturdays67% on time · p90 50 min · 129 flights · limited
  • Sundays67% on time · p90 50 min · 140 flights · limited

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.