OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Chicago to Seattle

1,721 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on ORD–SEA arrive on time 68% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate68%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay55 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.3%of scheduled flights

based on 5,561 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • United Airlinesbest
    On-time73%
    Medianon time
    p9045 min
    Cancel0.6%
    Flights1,540
  • Delta Air Lines
    On-time66%
    Medianon time
    p9050 min
    Cancel1.2%
    Flights898
  • Alaska Airlines
    On-time66%
    Medianon time
    p9055 min
    Cancel1.4%
    Flights1,803
  • American Airlines
    On-time64%
    Medianon time
    p9070 min
    Cancel2.0%
    Flights1,320

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline30%
  • Weather6%
  • Air traffic (NAS)23%
  • Late aircraft40%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline27%
  • Weather58%
  • Air traffic (NAS)15%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 73 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly ORD → SEA

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 59% to 81% on time.

  • Mornings81% on time · p90 25 min · 5,290 flights
  • Middays81% on time · p90 30 min · 2,618 flights
  • Afternoons76% on time · p90 40 min · 2,805 flights
  • Evenings62% on time · p90 70 min · 3,480 flights
  • Overnights59% on time · p90 70 min · 1,455 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 71% to 76% on time.

  • Saturdays76% on time · p90 45 min · 1,960 flights
  • Tuesdays76% on time · p90 40 min · 2,178 flights
  • Wednesdays75% on time · p90 45 min · 2,172 flights
  • Mondays73% on time · p90 50 min · 2,345 flights
  • Thursdays73% on time · p90 45 min · 2,353 flights
  • Sundays72% on time · p90 45 min · 2,286 flights
  • Fridays71% on time · p90 45 min · 2,354 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.