OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Chicago to Rochester

268 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on ORD–RST arrive on time 62% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate62%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay85 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled2.9%of scheduled flights

based on 804 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • Envoy Air
    On-time68%
    Medianon time
    p9040 min
    Cancel6.1%
    Flights147
  • SkyWest Airlines
    On-time61%
    Medianon time
    p9095 min
    Cancel2.1%
    Flights657

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline42%
  • Weather30%
  • Air traffic (NAS)10%
  • Late aircraft18%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Airline.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly ORD → RST

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 58% to 80% on time.

  • Middays80% on time · p90 30 min · 492 flights
  • Mornings79% on time · p90 30 min · 193 flights · limited
  • Evenings66% on time · p90 60 min · 164 flights · limited
  • Afternoons64% on time · p90 90 min · 409 flights
  • Overnights58% on time · p90 130 min · 427 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 65% to 73% on time.

  • Tuesdays73% on time · p90 55 min · 235 flights
  • Wednesdays71% on time · p90 45 min · 230 flights
  • Saturdays71% on time · p90 45 min · 223 flights
  • Mondays69% on time · p90 70 min · 252 flights
  • Thursdays68% on time · p90 70 min · 252 flights
  • Sundays66% on time · p90 80 min · 250 flights
  • Fridays65% on time · p90 60 min · 243 flights
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.