OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Chicago to Rochester

528 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on ORD–ROC arrive on time 75% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate75%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay45 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.6%of scheduled flights

based on 1,954 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • Republic Airways
    On-time77%
    Medianon time
    p9045 min
    Cancel2.6%
    Flights509
  • United Airlines
    On-time67%
    Medianon time
    p9055 min
    Cancel1.3%
    Flights527
  • Envoy Air
    On-time79%
    Medianon time
    p9035 min
    Cancel1.2%
    Flights918

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline25%
  • Weather10%
  • Air traffic (NAS)20%
  • Late aircraft44%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly ORD → ROC

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 64% to 82% on time.

  • Middays82% on time · p90 35 min · 816 flights
  • Mornings80% on time · p90 30 min · 1,144 flights
  • Afternoons79% on time · p90 35 min · 1,241 flights
  • Evenings71% on time · p90 45 min · 1,552 flights
  • Overnights64% on time · p90 80 min · 379 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 73% to 79% on time.

  • Tuesdays79% on time · p90 35 min · 708 flights
  • Mondays78% on time · p90 35 min · 774 flights
  • Saturdays77% on time · p90 40 min · 628 flights
  • Wednesdays76% on time · p90 40 min · 737 flights
  • Thursdays76% on time · p90 40 min · 763 flights
  • Fridays74% on time · p90 50 min · 765 flights
  • Sundays73% on time · p90 55 min · 759 flights
Advertisement

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.