OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Chicago to Providence

849 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on ORD–PVD arrive on time 73% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate73%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay55 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.3%of scheduled flights

based on 1,185 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • Republic Airways
    On-time82%
    Medianon time
    p9035 min
    Cancel0.9%
    Flights325
  • SkyWest Airlines
    On-time70%
    Medianon time
    p9055 min
    Cancel1.7%
    Flights592
  • United Airlines
    On-time82%
    Medianon time
    p9025 min
    Cancel0.0%
    Flights62
  • American Airlines
    On-time63%
    Medianon time
    p90105 min
    Cancel1.0%
    Flights206

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline38%
  • Weather13%
  • Air traffic (NAS)20%
  • Late aircraft29%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Airline.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly ORD → PVD

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 69% to 81% on time.

  • Overnights81% on time · p90 30 min · 79 flights · limited
  • Middays81% on time · p90 35 min · 1,588 flights
  • Mornings80% on time · p90 50 min · 175 flights · limited
  • Afternoons78% on time · p90 55 min · 254 flights
  • Evenings69% on time · p90 60 min · 1,646 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 71% to 79% on time.

  • Tuesdays79% on time · p90 45 min · 499 flights
  • Saturdays78% on time · p90 35 min · 492 flights
  • Mondays77% on time · p90 40 min · 554 flights
  • Thursdays77% on time · p90 45 min · 551 flights
  • Wednesdays76% on time · p90 45 min · 521 flights
  • Sundays72% on time · p90 60 min · 563 flights
  • Fridays71% on time · p90 45 min · 562 flights
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Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.