OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Chicago to Minneapolis

334 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on ORD–MSP arrive on time 68% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate68%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay70 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled2.0%of scheduled flights

based on 6,025 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • Envoy Air
    On-time72%
    Medianon time
    p9055 min
    Cancel2.8%
    Flights1,061
  • United Airlines
    On-time69%
    Medianon time
    p9060 min
    Cancel0.8%
    Flights2,401
  • Delta Air Lines
    On-time67%
    Medianon time
    p9085 min
    Cancel1.8%
    Flights1,426
  • Republic Airways
    On-time65%
    Medianon time
    p9075 min
    Cancel6.3%
    Flights447
  • SkyWest Airlines
    On-time64%
    Medianon time
    p9095 min
    Cancel3.0%
    Flights628
  • American Airlines
    On-time56%
    Median5 min
    p90105 min
    Cancel0.0%
    Flights62

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline31%
  • Weather13%
  • Air traffic (NAS)17%
  • Late aircraft39%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline12%
  • Weather66%
  • Air traffic (NAS)22%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 122 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly ORD → MSP

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 84% on time.

  • Mornings84% on time · p90 30 min · 4,840 flights
  • Middays74% on time · p90 50 min · 3,441 flights
  • Afternoons70% on time · p90 65 min · 4,033 flights
  • Evenings64% on time · p90 90 min · 2,136 flights
  • Overnights62% on time · p90 80 min · 3,151 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 70% to 75% on time.

  • Saturdays75% on time · p90 50 min · 2,244 flights
  • Tuesdays75% on time · p90 55 min · 2,479 flights
  • Wednesdays73% on time · p90 65 min · 2,492 flights
  • Sundays72% on time · p90 55 min · 2,577 flights
  • Mondays71% on time · p90 60 min · 2,610 flights
  • Fridays71% on time · p90 60 min · 2,587 flights
  • Thursdays70% on time · p90 60 min · 2,612 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Delay predictorfor this route→ORD airportChicago→MSP airportMinneapolis→United Airlinesairline profile→Delta Air Linesairline profile→Envoy Airairline profile→Seasonal delay patternsguide→

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.