Historical on-time performance
Chicago to Madison
109 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS
Flights on ORD–MSN arrive on time 72% of the time over the last 12 months.
On-time rate72%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay60 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled2.5%of scheduled flights
based on 3,153 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).
By airline
How each carrier compares
- Republic AirwaysbestOn-time83%Medianon timep9040 minCancel0.7%Flights544
- United AirlinesOn-time68%Medianon timep9060 minCancel1.4%Flights568
- SkyWest AirlinesOn-time68%Medianon timep9080 minCancel3.3%Flights1,143
- Envoy AirOn-time74%Medianon timep9055 minCancel2.6%Flights868
- PSA AirlinesOn-time53%Medianon timep90165 minCancel16.7%Flights30
Why flights run late
Delay causes
- Airline31%
- Weather13%
- Air traffic (NAS)14%
- Late aircraft42%
- Security0%
Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.
Over time
On-time trend
By season
On-time rate by month
When to fly
Best time to fly ORD → MSN
All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).
Best time of day
On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 63% to 79% on time.
- Middays79% on time · p90 45 min · 1,617 flights
- Mornings79% on time · p90 45 min · 1,215 flights
- Afternoons76% on time · p90 50 min · 1,606 flights
- Evenings71% on time · p90 60 min · 1,361 flights
- Overnights63% on time · p90 80 min · 1,568 flights
Best day of week
Tuesdays are the most reliable day to fly this route — 79% on time.
- Tuesdays79% on time · p90 45 min · 1,035 flights
- Saturdays75% on time · p90 60 min · 923 flights
- Wednesdays73% on time · p90 60 min · 1,036 flights
- Mondays73% on time · p90 55 min · 1,105 flights
- Thursdays72% on time · p90 65 min · 1,086 flights
- Fridays72% on time · p90 50 min · 1,084 flights
- Sundays71% on time · p90 65 min · 1,099 flights
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