OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Chicago to Milwaukee

67 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on ORD–MKE arrive on time 65% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate65%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay90 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled3.0%of scheduled flights

based on 4,163 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • Republic Airways
    On-time73%
    Medianon time
    p9040 min
    Cancel11.7%
    Flights60
  • SkyWest Airlines
    On-time65%
    Medianon time
    p9090 min
    Cancel2.9%
    Flights4,103

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline46%
  • Weather13%
  • Air traffic (NAS)17%
  • Late aircraft24%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Airline.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly ORD → MKE

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 66% to 75% on time.

  • Middays75% on time · p90 55 min · 1,606 flights
  • Mornings74% on time · p90 45 min · 978 flights
  • Afternoons69% on time · p90 70 min · 2,265 flights
  • Overnights68% on time · p90 75 min · 1,802 flights
  • Evenings66% on time · p90 85 min · 2,050 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 65% to 75% on time.

  • Tuesdays75% on time · p90 65 min · 1,238 flights
  • Saturdays73% on time · p90 55 min · 1,193 flights
  • Wednesdays72% on time · p90 60 min · 1,245 flights
  • Thursdays70% on time · p90 65 min · 1,243 flights
  • Mondays68% on time · p90 75 min · 1,278 flights
  • Fridays66% on time · p90 75 min · 1,254 flights
  • Sundays65% on time · p90 100 min · 1,250 flights
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.