OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Chicago to Memphis

491 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on ORD–MEM arrive on time 73% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate73%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay50 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.5%of scheduled flights

based on 1,921 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • Republic Airways
    On-time70%
    Medianon time
    p90100 min
    Cancel1.1%
    Flights88
  • SkyWest Airlines
    On-time75%
    Medianon time
    p9045 min
    Cancel0.6%
    Flights617
  • Envoy Air
    On-time74%
    Medianon time
    p9045 min
    Cancel2.1%
    Flights940
  • United Airlines
    On-time67%
    Medianon time
    p9085 min
    Cancel1.4%
    Flights276

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline29%
  • Weather12%
  • Air traffic (NAS)21%
  • Late aircraft38%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly ORD → MEM

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 66% to 80% on time.

  • Mornings80% on time · p90 30 min · 1,614 flights
  • Middays80% on time · p90 30 min · 962 flights
  • Afternoons76% on time · p90 50 min · 965 flights
  • Evenings72% on time · p90 60 min · 555 flights
  • Overnights66% on time · p90 75 min · 1,412 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 72% to 78% on time.

  • Tuesdays78% on time · p90 40 min · 757 flights
  • Wednesdays77% on time · p90 55 min · 769 flights
  • Mondays76% on time · p90 40 min · 836 flights
  • Saturdays76% on time · p90 45 min · 701 flights
  • Thursdays75% on time · p90 55 min · 808 flights
  • Fridays72% on time · p90 45 min · 821 flights
  • Sundays72% on time · p90 50 min · 817 flights
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Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.