OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Chicago to Harrisburg

594 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on ORD–MDT arrive on time 71% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate71%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay55 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled2.9%of scheduled flights

based on 1,766 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • Republic Airways
    On-time78%
    Medianon time
    p9025 min
    Cancel4.2%
    Flights165
  • Envoy Airbest
    On-time74%
    Medianon time
    p9050 min
    Cancel2.6%
    Flights778
  • United Airlines
    On-time68%
    Medianon time
    p9065 min
    Cancel2.0%
    Flights511
  • SkyWest Airlines
    On-time67%
    Medianon time
    p9065 min
    Cancel3.3%
    Flights122
  • American Airlines
    On-time61%
    Medianon time
    p9095 min
    Cancel5.3%
    Flights190

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline26%
  • Weather9%
  • Air traffic (NAS)18%
  • Late aircraft48%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline4%
  • Weather63%
  • Air traffic (NAS)33%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 51 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly ORD → MDT

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 66% to 79% on time.

  • Middays79% on time · p90 40 min · 999 flights
  • Mornings79% on time · p90 35 min · 942 flights
  • Afternoons73% on time · p90 55 min · 721 flights
  • Evenings67% on time · p90 70 min · 1,128 flights
  • Overnights66% on time · p90 65 min · 368 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 67% to 76% on time.

  • Wednesdays76% on time · p90 45 min · 585 flights
  • Tuesdays76% on time · p90 50 min · 589 flights
  • Fridays75% on time · p90 40 min · 604 flights
  • Saturdays75% on time · p90 55 min · 544 flights
  • Mondays74% on time · p90 55 min · 617 flights
  • Thursdays74% on time · p90 55 min · 604 flights
  • Sundays67% on time · p90 60 min · 616 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.