OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Chicago to Harrisburg

594 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on ORD–MDT arrive on time 75% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate75%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay50 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.8%of scheduled flights

based on 1,193 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • Republic Airways
    On-time83%
    Medianon time
    p9025 min
    Cancel2.8%
    Flights107
  • SkyWest Airlines
    On-time78%
    Medianon time
    p9025 min
    Cancel0.9%
    Flights114
  • Envoy Air
    On-time75%
    Medianon time
    p9050 min
    Cancel2.5%
    Flights605
  • United Airlines
    On-time72%
    Medianon time
    p9075 min
    Cancel0.5%
    Flights367

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline25%
  • Weather8%
  • Air traffic (NAS)18%
  • Late aircraft48%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly ORD → MDT

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 68% to 81% on time.

  • Middays81% on time · p90 35 min · 736 flights
  • Mornings81% on time · p90 30 min · 702 flights
  • Afternoons75% on time · p90 45 min · 650 flights
  • Evenings70% on time · p90 65 min · 1,085 flights
  • Overnights68% on time · p90 65 min · 225 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 68% to 79% on time.

  • Tuesdays79% on time · p90 40 min · 488 flights
  • Fridays79% on time · p90 35 min · 485 flights
  • Mondays78% on time · p90 45 min · 505 flights
  • Saturdays76% on time · p90 55 min · 454 flights
  • Wednesdays75% on time · p90 45 min · 484 flights
  • Thursdays75% on time · p90 50 min · 485 flights
  • Sundays68% on time · p90 65 min · 498 flights
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Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.