Historical on-time performance
Chicago to Saginaw
222 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS
Flights on ORD–MBS arrive on time 63% of the time over the last 12 months.
On-time rate63%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay100 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled2.9%of scheduled flights
based on 1,066 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).
By airline
How each carrier compares
- SkyWest AirlinesOn-time63%Medianon timep90100 minCancel2.9%Flights1,066
Why flights run late
Delay causes
- Airline37%
- Weather6%
- Air traffic (NAS)19%
- Late aircraft39%
- Security0%
Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.
When flights don't go
Why flights were cancelled
- Airline3%
- Weather90%
- Air traffic (NAS)6%
- Security0%
Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 31 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).
Over time
On-time trend
By season
On-time rate by month
When to fly
Best time to fly ORD → MBS
All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).
Best time of day
Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 79% on time.
- Mornings79% on time · p90 40 min · 460 flights
- Middays70% on time · p90 65 min · 1,239 flights
- Evenings66% on time · p90 90 min · 1,032 flights
- Afternoons64% on time · p90 90 min · 351 flights
Best day of week
On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 63% to 76% on time.
- Tuesdays76% on time · p90 60 min · 451 flights
- Saturdays73% on time · p90 55 min · 424 flights
- Wednesdays71% on time · p90 60 min · 449 flights
- Thursdays68% on time · p90 60 min · 450 flights
- Fridays68% on time · p90 80 min · 456 flights
- Mondays66% on time · p90 95 min · 452 flights
- Sundays63% on time · p90 90 min · 436 flights
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