OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Chicago to Jacksonville

864 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on ORD–JAX arrive on time 71% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate71%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay60 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.4%of scheduled flights

based on 1,510 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • Republic Airways
    On-time72%
    Medianon time
    p9075 min
    Cancel1.5%
    Flights68
  • United Airlines
    On-time74%
    Medianon time
    p9055 min
    Cancel0.9%
    Flights810
  • Envoy Air
    On-time77%
    Medianon time
    p9045 min
    Cancel1.8%
    Flights271
  • American Airlines
    On-time63%
    Medianon time
    p9095 min
    Cancel2.2%
    Flights361

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline23%
  • Weather3%
  • Air traffic (NAS)15%
  • Late aircraft59%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly ORD → JAX

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 67% to 84% on time.

  • Mornings84% on time · p90 25 min · 1,642 flights
  • Afternoons83% on time · p90 30 min · 469 flights
  • Middays77% on time · p90 50 min · 881 flights
  • Evenings69% on time · p90 65 min · 1,809 flights
  • Overnights67% on time · p90 55 min · 88 flights · limited

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 73% to 82% on time.

  • Tuesdays82% on time · p90 35 min · 651 flights
  • Saturdays79% on time · p90 45 min · 676 flights
  • Wednesdays78% on time · p90 35 min · 655 flights
  • Mondays77% on time · p90 50 min · 735 flights
  • Thursdays77% on time · p90 45 min · 722 flights
  • Sundays73% on time · p90 50 min · 732 flights
  • Fridays73% on time · p90 50 min · 719 flights
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.