OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Chicago to Washington

588 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on ORD–IAD arrive on time 72% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate72%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay60 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.6%of scheduled flights

based on 2,021 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • United Airlines
    On-time72%
    Medianon time
    p9060 min
    Cancel0.6%
    Flights2,021

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline33%
  • Weather6%
  • Air traffic (NAS)24%
  • Late aircraft36%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline8%
  • Weather85%
  • Air traffic (NAS)8%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 13 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly ORD → IAD

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 85% on time.

  • Mornings85% on time · p90 25 min · 1,333 flights
  • Middays80% on time · p90 25 min · 1,426 flights
  • Overnights73% on time · p90 50 min · 906 flights
  • Afternoons72% on time · p90 60 min · 720 flights
  • Evenings64% on time · p90 80 min · 1,099 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 72% to 79% on time.

  • Tuesdays79% on time · p90 40 min · 772 flights
  • Saturdays78% on time · p90 40 min · 774 flights
  • Wednesdays77% on time · p90 45 min · 782 flights
  • Mondays75% on time · p90 50 min · 776 flights
  • Thursdays75% on time · p90 45 min · 790 flights
  • Fridays74% on time · p90 50 min · 786 flights
  • Sundays72% on time · p90 60 min · 804 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.