Historical on-time performance
Chicago to Fresno
1,730 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS
Flights on ORD–FAT arrive on time 49% of the time over the last 12 months.
On-time rate49%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay115 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.3%of scheduled flights
based on 152 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).
By airline
How each carrier compares
- United AirlinesOn-time49%Median10 minp90115 minCancel1.3%Flights152
Why flights run late
Delay causes
- Airline36%
- Weather1%
- Air traffic (NAS)9%
- Late aircraft54%
- Security0%
Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.
When flights don't go
Why flights were cancelled
- Airline50%
- Weather50%
- Air traffic (NAS)0%
- Security0%
Most cancellations here are attributed to Airline. Shares are among 2 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).
Over time
On-time trend
By season
On-time rate by month
When to fly
Best time to fly ORD → FAT
All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).
Best time of day
On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 50% to 57% on time.
- Overnights57% on time · p90 70 min · 268 flights
- Evenings50% on time · p90 115 min · 221 flights
Keep exploring