Historical on-time performance
Chicago to Fairbanks
2,785 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS
Flights on ORD–FAI arrive on time 72% of the time over the last 12 months.
On-time rate72%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay35 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.1%of scheduled flights
based on 92 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).
By airline
How each carrier compares
- United AirlinesOn-time72%Medianon timep9035 minCancel1.1%Flights92
Why flights run late
Delay causes
- Airline36%
- Weather9%
- Air traffic (NAS)20%
- Late aircraft36%
- Security0%
Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.
Over time
On-time trend
By season
On-time rate by month
When to fly
Best time to fly ORD → FAI
All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).
Best day of week
On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 70% to 86% on time.
- Sundays86% on time · p90 15 min · 57 flights · limited
- Saturdays82% on time · p90 30 min · 57 flights · limited
- Mondays80% on time · p90 45 min · 56 flights · limited
- Thursdays80% on time · p90 45 min · 55 flights · limited
- Tuesdays75% on time · p90 50 min · 56 flights · limited
- Wednesdays70% on time · p90 35 min · 56 flights · limited
- Fridays70% on time · p90 55 min · 56 flights · limited
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