OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Chicago to Newark

719 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on ORD–EWR arrive on time 68% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate68%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay80 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled2.8%of scheduled flights

based on 5,704 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • Envoy Airbest
    On-time76%
    Medianon time
    p9040 min
    Cancel4.7%
    Flights721
  • United Airlines
    On-time69%
    Medianon time
    p9080 min
    Cancel2.2%
    Flights4,335
  • American Airlines
    On-time50%
    Median10 min
    p90115 min
    Cancel4.1%
    Flights587
  • Spirit Airlines
    On-time38%
    Median15 min
    p9085 min
    Cancel11.5%
    Flights61

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline19%
  • Weather8%
  • Air traffic (NAS)39%
  • Late aircraft33%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Air traffic (NAS).

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline4%
  • Weather82%
  • Air traffic (NAS)14%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 160 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly ORD → EWR

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 85% on time.

  • Mornings85% on time · p90 20 min · 4,832 flights
  • Middays70% on time · p90 75 min · 4,342 flights
  • Afternoons63% on time · p90 100 min · 3,370 flights
  • Overnights62% on time · p90 90 min · 1,723 flights
  • Evenings58% on time · p90 115 min · 3,592 flights

Best day of week

Tuesdays are the most reliable day to fly this route — 75% on time.

  • Tuesdays75% on time · p90 55 min · 2,539 flights
  • Wednesdays71% on time · p90 70 min · 2,569 flights
  • Saturdays71% on time · p90 75 min · 2,305 flights
  • Mondays69% on time · p90 80 min · 2,611 flights
  • Fridays67% on time · p90 80 min · 2,639 flights
  • Thursdays67% on time · p90 85 min · 2,594 flights
  • Sundays67% on time · p90 85 min · 2,603 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.