OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Chicago to Dallas-Fort Worth

802 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on ORD–DFW arrive on time 67% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate67%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay80 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled3.0%of scheduled flights

based on 6,600 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • United Airlinesbest
    On-time72%
    Medianon time
    p9065 min
    Cancel1.2%
    Flights1,985
  • American Airlines
    On-time65%
    Medianon time
    p9085 min
    Cancel3.7%
    Flights4,225
  • Frontier Airlines
    On-time63%
    Medianon time
    p9095 min
    Cancel3.9%
    Flights359
  • Spirit Airlines
    On-time35%
    Median20 min
    p90135 min
    Cancel6.5%
    Flights31

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline27%
  • Weather6%
  • Air traffic (NAS)21%
  • Late aircraft46%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline12%
  • Weather76%
  • Air traffic (NAS)12%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 196 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly ORD → DFW

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 78% on time.

  • Mornings78% on time · p90 40 min · 6,355 flights
  • Middays75% on time · p90 55 min · 5,301 flights
  • Afternoons66% on time · p90 75 min · 3,310 flights
  • Evenings62% on time · p90 90 min · 2,794 flights
  • Overnights62% on time · p90 75 min · 1,826 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 68% to 76% on time.

  • Tuesdays76% on time · p90 50 min · 2,740 flights
  • Wednesdays74% on time · p90 55 min · 2,724 flights
  • Mondays72% on time · p90 65 min · 2,890 flights
  • Thursdays72% on time · p90 60 min · 2,863 flights
  • Saturdays70% on time · p90 60 min · 2,611 flights
  • Fridays69% on time · p90 65 min · 2,893 flights
  • Sundays68% on time · p90 75 min · 2,868 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.