OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Chicago to Denver

888 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on ORD–DEN arrive on time 73% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate73%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay55 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.1%of scheduled flights

based on 5,979 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • Frontier Airlines
    On-time77%
    Medianon time
    p9060 min
    Cancel1.1%
    Flights189
  • United Airlines
    On-time77%
    Medianon time
    p9045 min
    Cancel0.9%
    Flights3,701
  • Envoy Air
    On-time76%
    Medianon time
    p9040 min
    Cancel0.0%
    Flights108
  • Southwest Airlines
    On-time74%
    Medianon time
    p9050 min
    Cancel0.8%
    Flights510
  • American Airlines
    On-time65%
    Medianon time
    p9080 min
    Cancel1.6%
    Flights1,471

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline28%
  • Weather4%
  • Air traffic (NAS)23%
  • Late aircraft44%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline20%
  • Weather72%
  • Air traffic (NAS)8%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 64 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly ORD → DEN

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 86% on time.

  • Mornings86% on time · p90 20 min · 5,363 flights
  • Middays82% on time · p90 30 min · 4,645 flights
  • Afternoons70% on time · p90 65 min · 3,327 flights
  • Overnights65% on time · p90 70 min · 2,969 flights
  • Evenings64% on time · p90 75 min · 2,651 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 73% to 78% on time.

  • Tuesdays78% on time · p90 45 min · 2,618 flights
  • Saturdays77% on time · p90 45 min · 2,460 flights
  • Wednesdays77% on time · p90 45 min · 2,639 flights
  • Mondays77% on time · p90 50 min · 2,803 flights
  • Sundays75% on time · p90 60 min · 2,808 flights
  • Thursdays75% on time · p90 55 min · 2,799 flights
  • Fridays73% on time · p90 50 min · 2,833 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.