OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Chicago to Dayton

240 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on ORD–DAY arrive on time 61% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate61%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay120 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled4.8%of scheduled flights

based on 1,603 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • United Airlines
    On-time79%
    Medianon time
    p9045 min
    Cancel1.6%
    Flights61
  • Envoy Airbest
    On-time77%
    Medianon time
    p9050 min
    Cancel3.0%
    Flights230
  • Republic Airways
    On-time64%
    Medianon time
    p9050 min
    Cancel8.9%
    Flights45
  • SkyWest Airlines
    On-time59%
    Medianon time
    p9090 min
    Cancel5.3%
    Flights455
  • PSA Airlines
    On-time57%
    Medianon time
    p90175 min
    Cancel5.0%
    Flights812

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline18%
  • Weather11%
  • Air traffic (NAS)10%
  • Late aircraft60%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline5%
  • Weather74%
  • Air traffic (NAS)21%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 77 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly ORD → DAY

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 68% to 75% on time.

  • Middays75% on time · p90 65 min · 1,042 flights
  • Overnights74% on time · p90 70 min · 686 flights
  • Afternoons71% on time · p90 70 min · 1,128 flights
  • Mornings70% on time · p90 75 min · 530 flights
  • Evenings68% on time · p90 85 min · 997 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 68% to 76% on time.

  • Saturdays76% on time · p90 65 min · 597 flights
  • Tuesdays73% on time · p90 70 min · 631 flights
  • Wednesdays72% on time · p90 75 min · 618 flights
  • Thursdays72% on time · p90 70 min · 617 flights
  • Mondays70% on time · p90 75 min · 642 flights
  • Fridays70% on time · p90 70 min · 640 flights
  • Sundays68% on time · p90 85 min · 638 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.