OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Chicago to Nashville

409 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on ORD–BNA arrive on time 69% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate69%arrived within 15 min
Median delayon timetypical arrival
p90 delay70 min1 in 10 flights is worsetail risk
Cancelled1.7%of scheduled flights

based on 4,576 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • Republic Airways
    On-time74%
    Medianon time
    p9045 min
    Cancel1.4%
    Flights639
  • United Airlinesbest
    On-time77%
    Medianon time
    p9045 min
    Cancel0.6%
    Flights1,165
  • Southwest Airlines
    On-time72%
    Medianon time
    p9050 min
    Cancel1.2%
    Flights428
  • SkyWest Airlines
    On-time62%
    Medianon time
    p9090 min
    Cancel2.8%
    Flights1,597
  • American Airlines
    On-time61%
    Medianon time
    p90100 min
    Cancel1.8%
    Flights384
  • Envoy Air
    On-time76%
    Medianon time
    p9040 min
    Cancel1.9%
    Flights363

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline32%
  • Weather14%
  • Air traffic (NAS)19%
  • Late aircraft35%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

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Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.